PART 7
BRITISH FINANCIAL WARFARE: 1929; 1931-
33
HOW THE CITY OF LONDON CREATED THE GREAT
DEPRESSION
by Webster G. Tarpley December, 1996
The thesis of this paper is that the
great economic and financial cataclysm of the first half of the
twentieth century, which we have come to know as the Great
Depression, was caused by the Bank of England, the British
government, and the City of London. The potential for the Great
Depression derived from the economic and human destruction wrought
by World War I, which was itself a product of British geopolitics
and especially of the British policy, exemplified by King Edward
VII, of creating an encircling anti-German alliance in order to wage
war. The economic destruction of Europe was continued after 1918 by
the Peace of Paris (Versailles, St. Germain, Trianon, Neuilly,
Sevres) imposed by the Allies on the defeated Central Powers.
Especially important here were the 55 billion gold dollars in
reparations inflicted on defeated Germany, along with the war debt
burden of the supposedly victorious powers themselves. Never during
the 1920's did world trade surpass the levels of 1913. Reparations
and war debt were a recipe for economic stagnation.
The ravaged post-war, post-Versailles world of the 1920's
provides the main backdrop for the following considerations:
1. The events leading to the Great Depression are all
related to British economic warfare against the rest of the world,
which mainly took the form of the attempt to restore a London-
centered world monetary system incorporating the gold standard. The
efforts of the British oligarchy in this regard were carried out by
a clique of international central bankers dominated by Lord Montagu
Norman of the Bank of England, assisted by his tools Benjamin Strong
of the New York Federal Reserve Bank and Hjalmar Schacht of the
German Reichsbank. This British-controlled gold standard proved to
be a straightjacket for world economic development, somewhat along
the lines of the deflationary Maastricht "convergence
criteria" of the late 1990's.
2. The New York stock exchange speculation of the
Coolidge-Hoover era was not a spontaneous phenomenon, but was rather
deliberately encouraged by Norman and Strong under the pretext of
relieving pressure on the overvalued British pound sterling after
its gold convertibility had been restored in 1925. In practice, the
pro-speculation policies of the US Federal Reserve were promoted by
Montagu Norman and his satellites for the express purpose of
fomenting a Bubble Economy in the United States, just as later
central bankers fostered a Bubble Economy in Japan after 1986. When
this Wall Street Bubble had reached gargantuan proportions in the
autumn of 1929, Montagu Norman sharply cut the British bank rate,
repatriating British hot money, and pulling the rug out from under
the Wall Street speculators, thus deliberately and consciously
imploding the US markets. This caused a violent depression in the
United States and some other countries, with the collapse of
financial markets and the contraction of production and employment.
In 1929, Norman engineered a collapse by puncturing the bubble.
3. This depression was rendered far more severe and, most
importantly, permanent, by the British default on gold payment in
September, 1931. This British default, including all details of its
timing and modalities, and also the subsequent British gambit of
competitive devaluations, were deliberate measures of economic
warfare on the part of the Bank of England. British actions amounted
to the deliberate destruction of the pound sterling system, which
was the only world monetary system in existence at that time. The
collapse of world trade became irreversible. With deliberate
prompting from the British, currency blocs emerged, with the clear
implication that currency blocs like the German Reichsmark and the
Japanese yen would soon have to go to war to obtain the oil and
other natural resources that orderly world trade could no longer
provide. In 1931, Norman engineered a disintegration by detonating
the gold backing of the pound sterling.
4. In the United States, the deliberate British default of
September 1931 led, given the do-nothing Hoover Administration
policies, directly to the banking crisis of 1932-33, which closed
down or severely restricted virtually every bank in the country by
the morning of Franklin D. Roosevelt's inauguration. If Roosevelt
had not broken decisively with Hoover's impotent refusal to fight
the depression, constitutional government might have collapsed. As
it was, FDR was able to roll back the disintegration, but economic
depression and mass unemployment were not overcome until 1940 and
the passage of Lend-Lease.
As we have already hinted, we consider that these matters are not
solely of historical interest. The repertoire of central bank
intrigue, speculative bubbles, defaults, devaluations, bank rate
manipulations, deflations and inflations constitute the essential
arsenal being used by British economic warfare planners today.
The Maastricht "convergence criteria" with their insane
deflationary thrust are very similar in effect to the rules of the
gold exchange standard as administered by London, 1925-1931. For
that matter, the policies of the International Monetary Fund are
too. The parallel extends even to the detail of Perfidious Albion's
gambit of opting out of the European Currency Union while watching
its victims writhe in an deflationary straightjacket tailored
between Threadneedle Street and Saville Row.
Since the summer of 1995 hot money generated by the low interest
rates of the Bank of Japan has been used by hedge fund operators of
the Soros school to puff up the world bubble. If the Bank of
England's late 1996 switch to bank rate increases turns out to be a
harbinger of world tight money, then it is possible that the
collapse and disintegration of the world financial system will
recapitulate other phases of the interwar years.
Lord Montagu Norman was always obsessed with secrecy, but the
British financial press has often practiced an arrogant and cynical
bluntness in its self-congratulatory accounts of its own exploits.
Therefore, wherever possible we have let the British, especially the
London Economist magazine and Lord Keynes, speak for themselves and
indict themselves. We have also drawn on the memoirs of US President
Herbert Hoover, who had moments of suprising lucidity even as he,
for the sake of absurd free-market, laissez-faire ideology, allowed
his country to drift into the abyss. As we will see, Hoover had
everything he needed to base his 1932 campaign for re-election on
blaming the Federal Reserve, especially its New York branch, for the
1929 calamity. Hoover could have assailed the British for their
September 1931 stab in the back. Hoover would have been doing the
country a permanent service, and he might have done somewhat better
in the electoral college. But Hoover was not capable of seriously
attacking the New York Fed and its master, Lord Montagu Norman.
ECONOMIC DECLINE AFTER WORLD WAR I
The roots of the crash of 1929 are to be sought in the economic
consequences of World War I, which was itself a product of the
British geopolitical machinations of King Edward VII and his
circles. The physical impact of World War I was absolutely
devastating in terms of human losses and material damage. This
destruction was then greatly magnified by the insistence of London
and Paris on reparations to be paid by defeated and prostrate
Germany.
After a few years of haggling, these reparations were fixed at
the astronomical sum of 32 billion gold-backed US dollars, to be
paid over 62 years at an interest rate of 5%. Even Lord Keynes, in
his "Economic Consequences of the Peace," compared this to
the imposition of slavery on Germany and her defeated allies, or to
squeezing a lemon until the pits squeak.
The reparations issue was complicated by the inter-allied war
debts, owed especially by France and Britain to the United States.
For a time a system emerged in which Wall Street made loans to
Germany so that Germany could pay reparations to France, which could
then pay war debts to Britain and the US. But this system was based
on usury, not production, and was therefore doomed.
The most dramatic evidence available on economic stagnation
during the 1920's is the fact that during this decade world trade
never attained the pre-war level of 1913.
THE CABAL OF CENTRAL BANKERS
A dominant personality of the City of London during these years
was Sir Montagu Norman, the Governor of the Bank of England during
the period 1920-1944. Norman came from a line of bankers. His
grandfather was Sir Mark Wilks Collet, who had himself been Governor
of the Bank of England during the 1880's. Collet had also been a
partner in the London firm of Brown, Shipley & Co., and also in
the New York bank of Brown Brothers & Co., later Brown Brothers,
Harriman, one of the most evil and most powerful banks in modern
American history. The managing partner of Brown Brothers, Harriman
during the 1930's was Prescott Bush, father of President George
Herbert Walker Bush, and a financial backer of Hitler. The dominant
figure at Brown Brothers, Harriman was W. Averell Harriman,
Roosevelt's special envoy to Churchill and Stalin, head of the
Marshall Plan, and the adviser to President Truman who was most
responsible for starting the Cold War with Russia and for prolonging
the Korean War.
Acting by himself and relying only on his own British resources,
Montagu Norman could hardly have aspired to play the role of
currency dictator of Europe. Norman's trump card was his ability to
manipulate the policies of the United States Federal Reserve System
through a series of Morgan-linked puppets.
Morgan's key puppet was Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal
Reserve Bank, which then as now represented the flagship of the
entire Fed system. Strong was Governor of the New York Federal
Reserve Bank between 1914 and his death in 1929. Strong was an
operative of the House of Morgan who had worked at Bankers Trust. In
addition to what he could do himself, Strong had great influence
over Andrew Mellon, who served as Secretary of the Treasury between
1921 and 1929 under Presidents Harding, Coolidge, and Hoover.
Montagu Norman also owned a large piece of Hjalmar Schacht,
Governor of the German Reichsbank and later Finance Minister in
governments in which Adolf Hitler was chancellor. Montagu Norman
himself, along with King Edward VIII, Lady Astor and Sir Neville
Chamberlain, was one of the strongest supporters of Hitler in the
British aristocracy. Norman put his personal prestige on the line in
September, 1933 to support the Hitler regime in its first attempt to
float a loan in London. The Bank of England's consent was at that
time indispensable for floating a foreign bond issue, and Norman
made sure that the "Hitler bonds" were warmly recommended
in the City.
THE FEDERAL RESERVE: CAUSE OF DEPRESSION
One of the main causes for the Great Depression was the Federal
Reserve System of the United States. Many naive persons think of the
Federal Reserve System as a part of the United States government,
which it emphatically is not. Probably this is because the only
money we have nowadays is marked "Federal Reserve Note."
The Federal Reserve is a privately owned and privately managed
institution. Those who can remember the 1960's can recall that there
were one dollar silver certificates as well as United States Notes,
the descendants of Lincoln's greenbacks, in several denominations.
But after the Kennedy assassination, the private Federal Reserve
established a monopoly on printing American money, shutting out the
US Federal Government from this important function.
In this way the Federal Reserve System violates the letter and
spirit of the United States Constitution. There, in Article I,
Section 8, Clause 5 we read that the Congress shall have the power
"to coin money, regulate the value thereof, and of foreign
coin, and fix the standard of weights and measures."
The Federal Reserve was created in December, 1913 when Woodrow
Wilson signed the Glass-Owen Federal Reserve Act. That bill had been
the product of cloak-and-dagger machinations by Wall Street
financiers and their political mouthpieces, many of them in league
with the City of London. Wall Streeter Frank A. Vanderlip, in his
autobiography "From Farm Boy to Financier" narrates that
the secret conference which planned the Federal Reserve was "as
secret - indeed, as furtive - as any conspirator." Vanderlip
was one of the insiders invited to the Jekyl Island Club on the
coast of Georgia in the autumn of 1910 by the Senator Nelson
Aldrich, the father-in-law of John D. Rockefeller Jr. Aldrich also
invited Henry Davison of J.P. Morgan & Co., and Benjamin Strong,
the future Governor of the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Also on
hand was Paul Warburg of the notorious international banking family,
descended from the Del Banco family of Venice. As Vanderlip
recounted, "We were instructed to come one at a time and as
unobtrusively as possible to the railway terminal on the New Jersey
littoral of the Hudson, where Senator Aldrich's private car would be
in readiness, attached to the rear end of a train for the
South."
On Jekyl Island this crew began to decide the main features of
the central bank of the United States: "We worked morning,
noon, and night....As we dealt with questions I recorded our
agreements...If it was to be a central bank, how was it to be owned
- by the banks, by the Government or jointly ? When we had fixed
upon bank ownership and joint control, we took up the political
problem of whether it should be a number of institutions or only
one." In the end, says Vanderlip, "there can be no
question about it: Aldrich undoubtedly laid the essential,
fundamental lines which finally took the form of the Federal reserve
law."
Today each of the twelve Federal Reserve Banks - Boston, New
York, Chicago, San Francisco, and so forth - is a private
corporation. The shares are held by the member banks of the Federal
Reserve System. The Class A and Class B Directors of each Federal
reserve Bank are elected by the shareholders from among bankers and
the business community, and other Directors are appointed by the
Federal Reserve Board in Washington.
Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
in Washington are chosen by the President and must be approved by
the Senate, for what that is worth. But when we come to the vital
Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, which sets short-term
interest rates and influences the size of the money supply by buying
or selling government securities, the picture is even worse. The
FOMC comprises 7 Fed Governors from Washington plus 5 presidents of
Federal Reserve Banks appointed by the respective Directors of these
banks. In practice, 5 Federal Reserve district presidents who have
never been seen by the President or the Congress have a vote on
setting the credit policy and money supply of the United States.
Public policy is made by a private cabal of self-appointed
plutocrats.
How was this sleazy product marketed to the Congress ?
Interestingly, the Congressmen were told that the Federal Reserve
System would prevent panics and depressions like those of the 1870's
and 1890's. Here is a sampling compiled by Herbert Hoover of selling
points used by lobbyists seeking votes for the Federal Reserve Act:
We shall have no more financial panics....Panics are
impossible....Business men can now proceed in effect confidence that
they will no longer pu their property in peril....Now the business
man may work out his destony without living in terror of panic and
hard times....Panics in the future are unthinkable....Never again
can panic come to the American people.
[The Memoirs of Herbert Hoover, p.7]
The verdict of history must be that the Federal Reserve has
utterly failed to deliver on these promises. The most potent
political argument against this arrangement is that it has been a
resounding failure. Far from making financial crises impossible, the
Fed has brought us one Great Depression, and it is about to bring us
a super-depression, a worldwide disintegration.
The Federal Open Market Committee was not part of the original
legislation that created the Federal Reserve System. But in the
early 1920's, some regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents,
inevitably dominated by New York, formed a committee outside of any
law to coordinate their activities in determning the money supply
and interest rates through buying and selling of government
securities - i.e., open market operations. This was a very
successful power grab by the regional Reserve Bank leaders, all
directly chosen by bankers and the private sector, and not subject
to approval by anyone in Washington. In 1935 Franklin D. Roosevelt
very unwisely signed a Banking Act which legalized the Federal Open
Market Committee in its present form, with a formal majority for
Federal Reserve Board Governors in Washington, the ones proposed by
the President and approved by the Senate. But at the same time the
Secretary of the Treasury, who used to be a member of the central
Board, was ousted from that position.
THE BRITISH RECORD OF STARTING WALL STREET PANICS
The British had a long track record of using the London Bank Rate
(that is, the rediscount rate of the Bank of England) for financial
and economic warfare against the United States. The periodic panics
of the nineteenth century were more often than not caused by
deliberate British sabotage. A few examples:
* In the Panic of 1837, the stage had been set for
depression by outgoing President Andrew Jackson's and Secretary of
the Treasury Roger Taney's abolition of the Second Bank of the
United States, by their cultivation of the state "pet"
banks, by their imbecilic Specie Circular of 1836, which demanded
gold payment to the federal government for the purchase of public
lands, and by their improvident distribution of the Treasury surplus
to the states. London's ultinmate weapon turned out to be the Bank
of England bank rate. With all the American defenses sabotaged, the
Bank of England sharply raised its discount rates, sucking gold
specie and hot money liquidity back across the Atlantic, while
British merchants and trading houses cut off their lines of credit
to their American customers. In the resulting chaos, not just
private banks and businesses went bankrupt, but also the states of
Mississippi, Louisiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and
Michigan, which repudiated their debts, permanently impairing US
credit in the world. Internal improvements came to a halt, and the
drift towards secession and civil war became more pronounced.
* The Panic of 1873 resuted from a British-directed effort to
ruin the banking house of Jay Cooke and Company, which had served
Lincoln and his successors as a quasi-governmental agency for the
marketing of United States Treasury securities and railroad bonds
during and after the Civil War. The Cooke insolvency had been
preceded by a massive dumping of US staocks and bonds in London and
the rest of Europe. This was London's way of shutting down the Civil
War boom that Lincoln's dirigist and protectionist policies had made
possible. Instead, a long US depression followed.
* The Panic of 1893 was prepared by the 1890 "Baring
panic" in London, caused by the insolvency of Barings Bank, the
same one which went bankrupt and was sold off in the spring of 1995.
In the resulting depression, the US Treasury surplus was reduced to
almost nothing, and a budget defecit loomed. Using this situation as
a pretext, British speculators drove the exchange rate of the dollar
down to the point where owners of gold began exporting their gold to
London. Treasury gold stocks dipped below $100,000,000, and then
kept falling to $68,000,000; US national bankruptcy threatened. In
response to this crisis, subversive President Grover Cleveland gave
control of the US public debt to the New York banking houses of
Morgan and Belmont, themselves British agents of influence.
Cleveland "sold out to Wall Street" by selling US gold
bonds to Morgan and Belmont at reduced prices, with the taxpayers
picking up the tab; Morgan and Belmont promised to "use their
influence" in London to prevent further British bear raids
against the US dollar and gold stocks. All of this caused another
long depression.
The economics profession is totally bankrupt today, with every
Nobel Prize winner in economics with the sole exception of Maurice
Allais qualifying for committment to a psychiatric institution. One
of the reasons for the depravity of the economists is that their
assigned task has always been one of mystification, especially the
job of covering up the simple and brutal fact that American
depressions have generally been caused by Bank of England and City
of London bankers. All the mystical mumbo-jumbo of curves, cycles,
and epicycles a la Schumpeter has always had the purpose of
camouflaging the fact that the Bank of England bank rate was the
nineteenth century's closest equivalent to the hydrogen bomb.
DEFLATION CRISIS OF 1920-21
The New York panic of 1920-21 represents yet another example of
British economic warfare. The illusion that the existence of the
Federal Reserve System might serve as a barrier against new
financial panics and depressions received a nasty knock with the
immediate postwar depression of 1920, which was a co-production of
the Bank of England and the New York Federal Reserve. The British
deliberately provoked this Wall Street panic and severe depression
during a period of grave military tension between London and
washington occasioned by the naval rivalry of the US and UK. The
British Bank Rate had been at 6% from November 1919 until April 15,
1920, when it was raised to 7%. The bust in Wall Street began in the
late summer of 1920. The UK Bank Rate was lowered to 6.5% in April
1922, and it went down all the way to 3% by July, 1922.
The Federal Reserve, as usual, followed London's lead, gradually
escalating the discount rate to 7% in June, 1920 to detonate the
bust, and descending to 6.5% about a year later. The argument used
by the central bankers' cabal to justify their extreme tight money
policy was the climate of postwar inflation, speculation, expansion
and the freeing of consumer demand that had been pent up in wartime.
This depression lasted about two years and was quite sharp, with a
New York composite index of transaction indices falling 13.7% for
the sharpest contraction since 1879. In many other countries this
was the fiercest depression on record. As Keynes later complained,
the US recovered much more rapidly than the British, who scarcely
recovered at all. For the rest of the interwar period, the United
Kingdom was beset by permanent depression.
The fact that this depression was brought on deliberately by the
Norman-Strong duo is amply documented in their private
correspondence. In December 1920, Strong and Norman agreed that
"the policy of making money dearer had been successful, though
it would have been better six months earlier. They agreed, too, that
deflation must be gradual; it was becoming now too rapid and they
favored a small reduction in rates both in London and New
York." [Clay, Lord Norman, p. 132]
THE CRASH OF 1929
The panic of 1929 is a prime example of a financial collapse
which was not prevented by the Federal Reserve. In fact, the 1920's
speculaltive bubble and subsequent crash of 1929 was directly caused
by Federal Reserve policies. Those policies in turn had been
dictated by the world of British finance, which had been decisive in
shaping the Federal Reserve to begin with.
During World War I, all the industrialized nations except the
United States had left the gold standard. Only the United States had
been able to stay with gold, albeit with special controls. During
the 1920's about two thirds of the world's supply of monetary gold,
apart from Soviet holdings, was concentrated in two countries - the
United States and France. The British, who were fighting to preserve
their dominance of the world financial system, had very little gold.
The British were determined to pursue their traditional economic
imperialism, but they had emerged from the war economically
devastated and, for the first time, a debtor nation owing war debts
to the United States. At the same time, the British were fighting to
keep their precious world naval supremacy, which was threatened by
the growth of the United States Navy. If the US had merely built the
ships that were called for in laws passed in 1916, the slogan of
"Brittania Rules the Waves" would have gone into the dust-
bin of history early in the 1920's.
The pre-war gold parity had given a dollar to pound relation of
$4.86 per pound sterling. As an avid imperialist Montagu Norman was
insisting by the mid-1920's that the pound return to the gold
standard at the pre-war rate. A high pound was a disaster for
British exports, but gave the British great advantages when it came
to buying American and other foreign real estate, stocks, minerals,
food, and all other external commodities. A high pound also
maximized British earnings on insurance, shipping, and financial
services -- London's so-called "invisible exports" and
earnings.
LORD NORMAN'S GOLD EXCHANGE STANDARD, 1925-1931
The nineteenth century gold standard had always been an
instrument of British world domination. The best economic growth
achieved by the United States during the century had been registered
between 1861 and the implementation of the Specie Resumption Act in
1879. During that time the United States enjoyed the advantage of
its own nationally controlled currency, Lincoln's greenbacks. Specie
resumption meant re-opening the Treasury window where holders of
paper dollars could have these dollars exchanged for gold coins. The
United States in 1879 thus returned to a gold coin standard, under
which paper money circulated side by side with $20 and $50 gold
pieces. This practice proved to be deflationary and detrimental to
economic development, while it increased American vulnerability to
British currency manipulations.
The post-1918 gold standard de-emphasized the circulation of gold
coins, although this still went on. It was rather a gold exchange
standard, under which smaller countries who chose the gold standard
could hold some of their reserves in the leading gold-backed
currencies like the pound sterling or the dollar. These currencies
were counted as theoretically as good as gold. The advantage to the
smaller countries was that they could keep their reserves on deposit
in London and earn interest according to the British bank rate. As
one London commentator noted at the time, "...many countries
returning to gold "have had such confidence in the stability of
the system, and in particular in the security of the dollar and of
sterling, that they have been content to leave part of the reserves
of their currencies in London." [Economist, September 26, 1931,
p. 549]
The post-1918 gold exchange standard included the workings of the
so-called gold points. This had to do with the relation of currency
quotations to the established gold parity. Norman wanted the pound
sterling to be worth $4.86. If the pound strengthened so as to trade
for $5, let us say, then the pound was said to have exceeded the
gold import point. American and other gold would be shipped to
London by those who owned gold. That gold would be deposited in
London and would earn interest there. If, as later happened, the
pound went down to 4 dollars to the pound, then the pound was said
to have passed the gold export point, and British gold would be
physically shipped to New York to take advantage of the superior
earnings there. This meant that if Norman wanted to keep a strong
pound, he needed to weaken the dollar at the same time, since with a
strong dollar the British gold would flee from London, forcing
Norman to devalue the pound sterling, lowering its the gold parity.
Notice that gold movements were to a very large degree based on the
decisions of individual banks and investors.
(During the later 1930's, after the a period in
which the dollar floated downward in terms of gold, the United
States under Franklin D. Roosevelt established a gold reserve
standard, also called by FDR's critics a "qualified external
bullion standard," in which gold transactions were limited to
settlements with foreign central banks, while private citizens were
barred from holding gold. This was similar to the gold reserve
provisions of the Bretton Woods system of 1944-1971.)
Norman's problem was that his return to the pre-1914 pound rate
was much too high for the ravaged post-1918 British economy to
support. Both the US and the British had undergone an economic
downturn in the early 1920's, but while the US soon bounced back,
the British were never able to recover. British manufactures were
now considered low-quality and obsolete.
THE GOLDEN CHANCELLOR
Nevertheless, Norman insisted on a gold pound at $4.86. He had to
convince Winston Churchill, the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Norman
whispered into Churchill's ear: "I will make you the golden
chancellor." Great Britain and the rest of the Empire returned
to the gold standard in April, 1925. Norman himself craved the title
of "currency dictator of Europe." And indeed, many of the
continental central banks were in his pocket.
It was much easier to return to the gold standard than it was to
stay there. British industrial exports, including coal, were priced
out of the world market, and unemployment rose to 1.2 million, the
highest since Britain had become an industrial country. Emile
Moreau, the governor of the Bank of France, commented that Norman's
gold standard had "provoked unemployment without precedent in
world history." British coal miners were especially hard hit,
and when the mine owners announced wage reductions, Britain
experienced the 1926 general strike, which was defeated with Winston
Churchill as chief scab and strike-breaker.
But Norman did not care. He was a supporter of the post-
industrial society based on the service sector, especially financial
services. The high pound meant that British oligarchs could buy up
the world's assets at bargain basement prices. They could buy US and
European real estate, banks, and firms. Norman's goal was British
financial supremacy: "...his sights remained stubbornly fixed
on the main target: that of restoring the City to its coveted place
at the heart of the financial and banking universe. Here was the
best and most direct means, as he saw it, of earning as much for
Britain in a year as could be earned in a decade by plaintive
indsutrialists who refused to move with the times. The City could do
more for the country by concentrating on the harvest of invisible
exports to be reaped from banking, shipping, and insurance than
could all the backward industrialists combined." [Boyle, 222]
Montagu Norman's golden pound would have been unthinkable without
the puppet role of Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal Reserve
Bank. Since the pound was grotesquely overvalued, the British were
running a balance of payments defecit because of their excess of
imports over exports. That meant that Norman had to ship gold from
the Bank of England in Threadneedle Street across the Atlantic. The
British gold started to flow towards New York, where most of the
world's gold already was.
The only way to stop the flow of gold from London to New York,
Norman reasoned, was to get the United States to launch a policy of
easy money, low interest rates, reflation, and a weak dollar - in
short, a policy of inflation. The key to obtaining this was Benjamin
Strong, who dominated the New York Fed, and was in a position to
dominate the entire Federal Reserve system which was, of course,
independent of the "political control" of the US
government which these oligarchs so much resented.
In essense, Norman's demand was that the US should launch a
bubble economy. The newly-generated credit could be used for
American loans to Germany or Latin America. Or, it could be used to
leverage speculative purchases of stocks. Very soon most of the new
credit was flowing into broker call loans for margin buying of
stocks. This meant that by advancing a small percentage of the stock
price, speculators could borrow money to buy stocks, leaving the
stocks with the broker as collateral for the loans. There are many
parellels between the measures urged for the US by Norman in 1925
and the policies urged on Japan by London and Wall Street in 1986,
leading to the Japanese bubble and their current banking crisis.
In 1925, as the pound was returning to gold, Montagu Norman,
Hjalmar Schacht and Charles Rist, the deputy governor of the Banque
de France visited Benjamin Strong in New York to mobilize his
network of influential insiders for easy money and low interest
rates in the US. Strong was able to obtain the policies requested by
Norman and his European puppets. Norman & Co. made a second
pilgrimage to Wall Street between 28 June and 1 July 1927 to promote
American speculation and inflation. On this second lobbying trip,
Norman exhibited grave concern because the first half of 1927 had
witnessed a large movement of gold into New York. Strong and his
cabal immediately went into action.
The second coming of Norman and Schacht in 1927 motivated Strong
to force through new reflation of the money supply in July and a
further cut in the US discount rate in August of that same year. The
rediscount rate of the New York Fed was cut from 4% to 3.5%. This
was the credit which stoked the culminating phase of the Coolidge
Bull Market during 1928 and 1929. Strong also got the FOMC to begin
buying US Treasury securities in open market operations, leaving the
banks flush with cash. This cash soon wandered into the broker call
loan market, where it was borrowed by stock speculators to buy stock
on margin, fueling a growing stock speculation. Interest rates in
London were supposed, according to Norman, to be kept above those in
New York - although Norman later deviated from this when it suited
him.
In his essay "The Economic Consequences of Mr.
Churchill," Lord Keynes noted that the British had returned to
gold at a rate that was at least 10% too high; Keynes showed that
the British government had also chosen a policy of deliberately
increasing unemployment, especially in the export industries in
order to drive down wages. In order to stem the flow of gold out of
London, Keynes observed, the Bank of England's policy was to
"encourage the United States to lend us money by maintaining
the unprecedented situation of a bill rate 1 per cent higher in
London than in New York." [Essays in Persuasion, p. 254]
One alarmed observer of these events was, ironically, Secretary
of Commerce Herbert Hoover of the Coolidge administration, who
condemned the Fed policies as "direct inflation." "In
November, 1925," recounts Hoover, "it was confirmed to me
by Adolph Miller, a member of the Reserve Board, that Strong and his
European allies proposed still more 'easy money policies,' which
included continued manipulation of the discount rates and open
market operations - more inflation." Hoover says he protested
to Fed chairman Daniel Crissinger, a political appointee left over
from the Harding era who was in over his head. "The other
members of the board," says Hoover, "except Adolph Miller,
were mediocrities, and Governor Strong was a mental annex of
Europe."
Hoover had to some extent struggled behind the scenes in 1925
against Norman's demands, but by 1927 he had begun to defer in
matters of high finance to Ogden Mills, who was willing to go along
with the Bank of England program. After the crash, Hoover's friend
Adolph Miller of the Fed Board of Governors told a committee of the
US Senate:
In the year 1927...you will note the pronounced increase in
these holdings [US Treasury securities held by the Fed] in the
second half of the year. Coupled with the heavy purchases of
acceptances it was the greatest and boldest operation every
undertaken by the Federal Reserve System, and, in my judgment,
resulted in one of the most costly errors committed by it or any
other banking system in the last 75 years.... What was the
object of the Federal Reserve Policy in 1927? It was to bring down
money rates, the call rate among them, because of the international
importance the call rate had come to acquire. The purpose was to
start an outflow of gold - to reverse the previous inflow of gold
into this country.
[Senate Hearings pursuant to S.R. 71, 1931, p. 134 in Lionel
Robbins, The Great Depression (London, 1934), p. 53.]
A few years later the British economist Lionel Robbins offered
the following commentary on Miller's testimony: "The policy
succeeded....The London position was eased. The reflation succeeded.
But from that date, the situation got completely out of control. By
1928 the authorities were throughly frightened. But now the forces
they had released were too strong for them. In vain they issued
secret warnings. In vain they pushed up their own rates of discount.
Velocity of circulation, the frenzied anticipation of speculators
and company promoters, had now taken control. With resignation the
best men in the system looked forward to the inevitable smash."
[Robbins, pp. 53-54]
Robbins contends that the Wall Street bubble of 1925-1929 was
built on top of an economy that was sinking into recession in 1925.
The Norman-Strong bubble masked that recession until the panic
exploded in 1929. Robbins places the responsibility for the Crash at
the door of the Federal Reserve and its European counterparts:
"Thus, in the last analysis, it was deliberate co-operation
between Central bankers, deliberate 'reflation' on the part of the
Federal Reserve authorities, which produced the worst phase of this
stupendous inflation." [Robbins, p. 54]
The evolution of the Norman's tactics shows clearly enough that
he did not provoke a crash in New York out of legitimate self
defense, to protect the Bank of England's gold from being exported
to Manhattan. Norman was willing to sacrifice massive quantities of
gold in order to feed the New York bubble and thus be sure that when
panic finally came, it would be as devastating as possible. Between
July 1928 and February, 1929, the New York Fed lending rate was 5%,
half a point higher than the 4.5% that was the going rate at the
Bank of England. As the London Economist commented, "two years
ago [in early 1927] no one would have believed New York could remain
half a point above London for more than a few weeks without London
being forced to follow suit." [Economist, February 9, 1929, p.
275] All during the autumn of 1928 the Bank of England hemorrhaged
gold to Manhattan, as British pounds hurried to cash in on the 12%
annual interest rates to be had in the Wall Street brokers' call
loan market. Even in January and February of 1929, months when the
Bank of England could normally expect to take in gold, the gold
outflow continued.
During the first week of February, 1929, Norman raised the London
bank rate to 5.5%. The Economist snidely commented:
Finally, the 5.5 per cent. rate comes as a definite signal
to America. It must not be supposed that Continental centres will
remain indifferent to London's lead, and its cumulative effect may
well be a definite pronouncement that Europe is not prepared to
stand idly by and see the world's stocks sucked into a maelstrom.
Wall Street can scarcely remain indifferent to such a pronouncement,
especially if the New York Reserve Bank follows by a sharp increase
in its own rate. In any case, the establishment of European interest
rates upon a new and higher level may well draw gold back from New
York before long; and if so the 5.5 per cent. rate will have done
its work.
[Economist, 9 February 1929, p. 275]
The higher British bank rate scared a number of Wall Street
speculators. In two days the Dow Jones average declined by about 15
points to 301. On the day Norman hiked the rates, the volume went
over 5 million shares, at that tme an extraordinary level. But
within a few days the momentum of speculation reasserted itself.
The signal sent by the higher London Bank Rate was underlined in
March 1929 by the Anglophile banker Paul Warburg. This was once
again the scion of the notorious Anglo-Venetian Del Banco family who
had been the main architect of the Federal Reserve System. Warburg
now warned that the upward movement of stock prices was "quite
unrelated to respective increases in plant, property, or earning
power." In Warburg's view, unless the "colossal volume of
loans" and the "orgy of unrestrained speculation"
could be checked, stocks would ultimately crash, causing "a
general depression involving the entire country." [Noyes, p.
324]
Between February and April 1929, the Bank of England was able
slightly to improve its gold stocks. By late April the pound began
to weaken, and the Banque de France, true to Moreau's hard line
policy, siphoned off more of Norman's gold. July 1929 was a bad
month for Threadneedle Street's gold. By August 21, 1929 the Bank of
England had paid out 24 million pounds' worth of gold since the
start of the year. In August and September, however, the gold
outflow slowed.
On the morning of 4 September 1929, the New York hedge fund
operator Jesse Livermore received a message from a source in London
according to which a "high official" of the Bank of
England - either Montagu Norman or one of his minions - had told a
luncheon group of City of London men that "the American bubble
has burst." The same official was also quoted as saying that
Norman was looking for an excuse to raise the discount rate before
the end of the month. The message concluded by noting that a
financier by the name of Clarence Hatry was in big financial
trouble. [Thomas and Morgan-Witts, pp. 279-280]
The New York Federal Reserve Bank had raised its discount rate to
6% on August 8. Soon therafter, the market began to run out of
steam. The peak of the Coolidge bull market was attained on
September 3, 1929, when many leading stocks reached their highest
price quotations. So Livermore's Bank of England source had been
right on te money. On Sept. 5, the market broke downward on bearish
predictions from economic forecaster Roger Babson, who on this day
won his nickname as "the Prophet of Loss." During the
following weeks, the market drifted sideways and downward.
On September 20, 1929 it became known in the City of London that
the Clarence Hatry group, which supposedly had been worth about 24
million pounds, was hopelessly insolvent. On that day Hatry and his
leading associates confessed to fraud and forgery in the office of
Sir Archibald Bodkin, the Director of Public Prosecutions, went to
have lunch at the Charing Cross Hotel, and were jailed. Hatry later
asserted that in late August, he had made a secret visit to the Bank
of England to appeal to Montagu Norman for financing to allow him to
complete a merger with United Steel Company, a UK firm. Norman had
adamantly refused Hatry's bid for a bridge loan. By 17 September,
when Hatry stock began to fall on the London exchange, Hatry had
liabilities of 19 million pounds and assets of 4 million pounds.
When, on 19 September, Hatry approached Lloyd's Bank in last a
desperate bid for financing, the wayward financier had told his
story to Sir Gilbert Garnsey, a chartered accountant. Garnsey had
made a second approach to Norman for emergency financing, and had
also been rebuffed. At this point Norman had informed the chairman
of the London Stock Exchange that the Hatry group was bankrupt; in
this conversation it was agreed that trading in Hatry shares would
be suspended on 20 September.
Norman thus wanted the Hatry bankruptcy; he could have prevented
it if he had wanted to. How many times did Norman, who operated
totally in the dark as far as the British government and public were
concerned, bail out other tycoons who happened to be his friends and
allies? The Hatry affair was useful to Norman first of all because
it caused a rapid fall in the London stock market. London
stockjobbers who were caught short on cash were forced to liquidate
their New York holdings, and the Economist spoke of "forced
sales" on Wall Street occasioned by the "Hatry
disclosures." [London Economist, 23 November, 1929, p. 955]
More important, Norman could now pretend that since confidence in
London had been rudely shaken, he needed to raise the bank rate to
prevent a further flight of funds.
Less than a week after the Hatry group's debacle, Norman made his
final and decisive bid to explode the New York bubble. He once again
raised the Bank of England discount rate. As the New York Times
reported from London, "the atmosphere was tense in the
financial district and exciting scenes were witnessed outside the
Royal Exchange. Ten minutes before noon a uniformed messenger rushed
into the corridor of the Bank carrying a framed notice over his
head. The notice read: 'Bank rate 6 1/2 per cent.' A wild scramble
ensued as messengers and brokers dashed back to their offices with
the news." One of the subtitles of the Times's article was
"BUSINESS FEARS RESULTS". [NYT, 27 September 1929] And
well they might have.
6.5% was a very high discount rate for London in those days, and
a full point had been a big jump. The London rate had not been so
high since 1921, during the so-called deflation panic of 1920-21.
The British move towards higher rates was imitated within two days
by the central banks of smaller continental states where British
influence was high: Austria, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and the Irish
Republic all hiked their discount rate. On October 10 the British
monetary authorities in India also raised the discount rate there by
a full point. Added to the steps already taken by the Bank of
England, these actions generated a giant sucking sound as money was
pulled out of New York and across the Atlantic.
The Economist approved Norman's maneuver, while blaming "the
continuance of Stock Exchange speculation in America, with its
concomitant high call rates" for the need to go 6.5%. Such a
high rate would of course be highly destructive to British factories
and farms, but this, as we have already seen, counted for nothing in
Norman's machinations. The Economist commentary ended with a very
sinister prophecy:
Still, on the whole, few will doubt that the Bank was right
this week to change over to its...alternative of imposing dearer
money rates at home. It has decided to do so at a moment when the
fates are becoming propitious to an early success, which should
permit of a relaxation of the present tension before too long a
period has elapsed.
[28 September 1929, p. 557]
What the Economist meant by success, as we will see, was the
detonation of a collossal panic in New York. By abruptly pulling
millions of pounds out of New York, Norman turned the sagging
Coolidge bull market into the biggest rout in stock market history
up to that time. Then, as the Economist suggests, the British bank
rate could come down again.
John Kenneth Galbraith, in his much-quoted study The Great Crash,
curiously manages to avoid mentioning the raise in the British Bank
Rate as the immediate detonator of the Crash of 1929. But then,
Galbraith is a Canadian and an Anglophile. But a few old American
textbooks had the story somewhat better: "The stovck-market
collapse came in October, 1929 when English interest rates were
raised to six and one-half per cent in order to bring home needed
capital that had been attracted to the United States by the high
speculative profits," wrote hicks and Mowry in their 1956 Short
History of American Democracy".
Various London outlets now began feverishly signalling that it
was time to pull the rug out from under the New York market. A
prominent signaller was Philip Snowdon, the Chancellor of the
Exchequer in the Labour Party government of Ramsay MacDonald which
had come into power in the spring of 1929 on a platform which had
included the need for better relations with the United States. On
October 3, 1929, Snowdon addressed the Labour Party's annual
conference in Brighton. Snowdon's audience was understandably not
happy with a higher bank rate, since they would be the main victims
of unemployment.
Snowdon, while stressing that Norman's actions were independent
of the Exchequer, genially told the delegates that "there was
no other recourse." Why not? Snowdon first repeated the
argument about defending London's gold stocks: "Monetary
conditions in America, Germany, and France have been such as to
create a great demand for the currencies of those countries,
dollars, marks, and francs, and a consequent selling of sterling,
with the result that the rates of exchange have gone against us
recently, reaching points where payments were taken in gold."
The US, in particular, was the culprit: "In New York, with
America's plethora of liquid capital and high rates, there has been
a usual year's orgy of speculation, draining money away from
England." "There has been a raid on the financial
resources of this country which the increased bank rate is now
intended to check" Snowdon ranted. "The object of the
increased rate is to draw money back to England," Snowdon
stressed. The hardship of high rates must be blamed on the US:
"...there must be something wrong and requiring our attention
when such an orgy 3,000 miles away can so dislocate the financial
system of this country and inflict injury on our workers and
employers." It was time to bail out of New York and come home
to London, Snowdon urged: "British credit is the best in the
world. The British market is the safest in the world for those who
are satisfied with reasonable investments and not lured into wild
speculations." [NYT, 4 October 1929]
When J.P. Morgan read this speech, he was reportedly apoplectic
that Snowdon had repeated his catchphrase of "orgy of
speculation" so many times. But J.P. Morgan was also in the
process of going short.
Snowdon's speech was widely applauded in the City of London, the
New York Times reported the next day, and his "reference to the
effect of the American speculation on the international situation
was also approved...the feeling is that such movements must be
allowed to bring their own correction." [NYT, 6 October 1929]
The "correction" was now only a few weeks away.
On October 21, 1929 the Great Crash began. On October 24, at the
height of the panic, Winston Churchill appeared briefly in the
visitors' gallery of the New York Stock Exchange to view the boiling
trading floor and savor the chaos he had wrought. On October 29, the
principal market index lost 40 points on a volume of almost 12.9
million shares, an all-time record in that epoch.
One of the remarkable features of October 29 was the large number
of immense block lots of stock that were dumped on the market, in
contrast to the previous days when the panic had mainly involved
smaller margin-leveraged investors. In those days the financial
editor of the New York Times was the veteran journalist Alexander
Dana Noyes, who had played the role of Anglophile Cassandra of the
Coolidge market: at every periodic convulsion in the speculative
fever, Noyes had proclaimed that the day of reckoning had finally
come. In his later autobiography, The Market Place: Reminiscences of
a Financial Editor (Boston: Little Brown, 1938), Noyes admits in
passing that the British had played a key role in the dumping of
these large blocks of stock: "Afterward, it came to be known
that the forced selling was not only stock which had been bought for
the rise by the hundreds of of thousands of outside speculators, but
represented also the closing-out of professional speculators who had
been individually 'carrying' immense lines of stock. Possibly
London, which after its habit had been joining in the American
speculation...started indiscriminate foreign selling." [p. 330]
By the end of October, the total value of stocks listed on the
New York Exchange had declined by 37%. That, it turned out, was only
the beginning. By the time the bottom was finally reached in March,
1933, stocks had declined in price by more than 80%. By 1932
commodity prices had fallen by 30 to 40%. World manufacuring
production was down by 30 to 50%. World trade declined by two
thirds. The International Labor Office in 1933 said that
approximately 33 million persons were out of work.
By Halloween, Norman was able to reduce the London rate from 6.5%
to 6%. The Economist gloated:
"Seldom has the country received a more agreeable
surprise than that sprung upon it by the Bank of England when at,
twelve o'clock on Thursday morning, it announced that its rate had
been reduced from 6 1/2 to 6 per cent. Five weeks ago, when Bank
rate was raised from 5 1/2 to 6 1/2 per cent., doubts were freely
expressed lest the new rate might not prove effective in correcting
the exchanges and stemming the flow of gold from this country; and
voices were heard foreboding that 6 1/2 per cent. might have to be
followed by 7 1/2 per cent. in a few weeks' time. Less than three
weeks sufficed to confound the school of extreme pessimists, for by
the middle of October [when the New York panic began] it was plain
that all danger of a higher Bank rate had passed. The dollar was
nearer the import than the export gold point, the mark was back to
par, and London and the sterling was proving a magnet for the
world's floating balances.
"The final collapse of the Wall Street boom under the
avalanche of selling which began on Thursday of last week, and which
must be regarded as the main factor in the Bank's decision, has
confounded optimists and pessimists alike. ...it must be borne in
mind that the Bank rate was raised to 6 1/2 per cent. last September
solely to make London an attractive centre for short money. ...the
crux of the situation lay in the attraction of the New York market
both for floating balances to be lent at call, and for the funds of
private investors anxious to participate in the profts of a boom
which appeared to have no end. Steps had to be taken by the Bank of
England to counter a situation which threatened to become critical
for its own reserves.
"Even before Wall Street's 'Black Thursday,' events showed
that the new Bank rate was achieving its objects to an extent
surpassing expectations....With the final collapse of the Wall
Street boom, and the definite end of a critical phase in the world's
monetary history, in which New York had been an inconveniently
overwhelming competitor for international funds, the Bank of Ebgland
decided...to lose no time in allowing Bank rate to drop to the level
of the market rate....
"...it would be premature to jump to the conclusion that the
Wall Street break has cleared the world's monetary and commercial
horizon of every cloud...there is warrant for hoping that the
deflation of the exaggerated balloon of American stock values will
ultimately be for the good of the world....we look for a gradual
improvement in the international monetary situation as the huge
balances hitherto concentrated in New York redistribute themselves
over the rest of the world - thus greatly easing the strain on the
British banking system and opening possibilities for a further
reduction in Bank rate in the not very distant future....
"The cessation of the westward flow of funds, even if the
reversal of the process does not lead to the early recovery by
London of all, or nearly all, her lost gold, should greatly ease the
difficulties presented by the problems of international debt
payments and the interrelated Reparations issue...The 6 1/2 per
cent. rate HAS DONE ITS WORK AND DONE IT WELL." [London
Economist, 2 November 1929, pp. 805-806, emphasis added]
On November 23, when the smoke had cleared on Wall Street and the
wreckage there was more clearly visible, the Economist catalogued
"Reactions to the Wall Street Slump." Again they recurred
to Montagu Norman's interest rate hike of September 26: "That
advance...was a by no means negligible factor in turning into the
opposite direction the tide of funds which had been flowing so
strongly toward New York, and in causing the edifice of the American
speculation to totter." [London Economist, 23 November 1929, p.
955]
By mid-December the London discount rate was down to 5%. The
Economist in its year-end review of 1929, repeated its praise for
Norman's bank rate strategem: "In the financial world we faced
and met a crisis which, in the opinion of the doubters, threatened
even to endanger the gold standard in this country. But after
enduring a long-continued drain of gold...the Bank at a critical
moment took a course as bold as it was successful, and in the event
it proved necessary only to put up with acutely dear money for a
matter of weeks." In that holiday season of 1929 the Economist
saw "a depression from across the Atlantic of cyclonic
force" but since "Great Britain's monetary position in
regard to gold need give rise to no anxiety" and British
"industry starts a New Year ...on more even terms with our
competitors than for many years past," Norman had scored a
"success."
Norman had succeeded in torpedoing the US economy, but he had
also unleashed a world depression. The British had been in a
depression anyway, so getting the rest of the world to join them in
their misery was a highly positive development. As for Benjamin
Strong, he had died in October, 1928.
FROM COLLAPSE TO DISINTEGRATION
During 1930, levels of employment and production declined sharply
in most of the world. British unemployment went from a colossal 1.34
million at the end of 1929 to an astronomical 2.5 million at the end
of 1930. By late in the year Lord Keynes was writing of the
"Great Slump of 1930," as a result of which mankind was
living "this year in the shadow of one of the greatest economic
catastrophes of modern history." [Essays in Persuasion, p. 135]
Keynes estimated that the level of new capital investment in the
United States was by late 1930 already 20% to 30% less than it had
been in 1928. [p. 145]
1930 also saw a series of post-crash banking failures, especially
among smaller banks of the rural south. These bank failures struck
Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, and North Carolina. There was also
the insolvency of the Bank of United States in the New York City
garment district.
With Wall Street crippled, London quickly became the center of
what today would be called international hot money, with short term
sterling balances that were ready to rush anywhere in the world a
better rate of return could be obtained. During the period of
uncertainty about the fate of the French franc between 1924 and
1926, large amounts of French hot money had shifted into London and
had remained there. This money would exit with particular abruptness
in case of trouble in London. This meant that a sudden collapse of
confidence in London could easily lead to panic and the massive
flight of capital.
THE COLLAPSE OF EUROPE
In late 1929 and 1930, the British financiers noticed very little
change in their usual depression routine. But the explosion in New
York cut off loans and wrecked the banking system in central Europe,
as signalled by the Kreditanstalt banruptcy in Vienna in May 1931,
and the fall of the Danatbank and the rest of the German banks in
July of the same year.
Vienna had been chronically troubled because of its status as the
full-sized head of a truncated body after the breakup of the Austro-
Hungarian Empire. The Kreditanstalt, a Rothschild property, was the
survivor among the Vienna banking houses, which had succumbed one by
one to the post-Versailles slump. As a result, Kreditanstalt owed
$76 million abroad, mainly to UK and US investors. An international
effort to bail out the Kreditanstalt with the help of the
Rothschilds, the Bank for International Settlements, the Bank of
England, and others availed nothing.
Failure of the Kreditanstalt meant the bankruptcy of much of
central Europe. The crisis of the German banks took center stage.
Even more than in Austria, the drying up of New York as a source of
lending was the main culprit here. It was estimated that Germany had
to meet yearly foreign payments of $800 million, including the
onerous reparations. A run on the Berlin banks developed. Within a
short time Germany was forced to export two fifths of her gold
reserves for a total of $230 million.
The crisis in Berlin inevitably had immediate and serious
repercussions in London. Some believed that British financial houses
had been too slow to pull their money out of Berlin, and that large
sums owned by the British had been frozen in Berlin when the banks
there were shut down. Part of the panic travelled to London by way
of Amsterdam: the Dutch banks had loaned heavily in Germany, and the
Dutch withdrew their considerable assets from London to stay afloat.
Now the tremors unleashed by the Crash of 1929 had undermined the
entire banking system in Germany, Austria, Romania, Hungary, and the
rest of central Europe.
It was at this point, with a cynical treacherous reversal of
their entire policy, that the British decided to wreck the sterling-
centered international monetary system which they had re-assembled
after World War I. Their gesture was similar to the speculative
attacks on the pound mounted by George Soros and other British-
backed speculators in September, 1992, which aimed at destroying the
European Exchange Rate Mechanism, a grid of relatively fixed
parities among the continental currencies. In soccer terms it was an
"autogol" or own goal, scored against one's own purported
team.
In the midst of the German crisis the fact that German
reparations and interallied war debts could not be payed was finally
recognized by US President Herbert Hoover, who was realistic enough
to proclaim the debt moratorium which bears his name - the Hoover
moratorium of June, 1931, which froze all reparations and war debt
payments for 1 year. This moratorium was approved by the US Congress
with sweeping majorities in December, 1931. But the Hoover
moratorium was too little and too late. By the time Hoover had made
up his mind to act, Schacht's Reichsbank was just a few weeks away
from defaulting on gold payment and imposing strict controls on all
currency transfers to the outside world. Another problem with the
Hoover moratorium was that it was announced for only one year - it
should have been for the duration of the crisis. The Hoover
Moratorium also contained a domestic political trick: if the
European governments were not required to pay their debt to the
United States government, then those same Europeans might still have
enough liquidity to pay back their loans American privately owned
banks and businesses. So the US Treasury would have suffered, for
the benefit of the private sector. In December, 1932 France, Belgium
and other debtors defaulted, and the Hoover Moratorium became
permanent in practice.
Under the guidance of Schacht and Montagu Norman, the Germany of
Chancellor Heinrich Bruening rapidly evolved into the prototype of
the autarkical currency bloc of the 1930's. Most of the classical
Schachtian apparatus later employed by Hitler was already in place
before Hitler ever came to power.
The emergence of the mark zone was also assisted by Hoover's
Secretary of State, the notorious Anglophile Henry Stimson -- the
ego ideal of the youthful George Bush. It was in fact Simson who,
while attending the London Conference on the German crisis, proposed
the so-called Standstill Agreements, which stated that creditors
owed money by the German government or by German banks and
businesses would be obliged to refrain from demanding payment, and
in any case not to take their money out of Germany. This gambit was
found especially appalling by Jacques Rueff, who was in attendance.
A debt moratorium for the duration of the crisis would have been
simpler and far more effective. As it was, the ability of German
residents to buy and spend abroad was throughly curtailed. Soon all
trade was restricted, and frozen and blocked accounts were
instituted. The Reichsbank rediscount rate went to a strangulating
10%, and the rate on collateral loans went to 15%. In the domestic
economy, deflation and austerity were the order of the day. All of
this played politically into the hands of Hitler and the Nazis,
which was precisely the intention of Montagu Norman.
LONDON'S SINGAPORE DEFENSE OF THE BRITISH POUND, 1931
The surrender to Japan of the British naval base and fortress of
Singapore on February 15, 1941 was the culmination of one of the
most absurd military farces in the history of Perfide Albion. This
was the result of a long-term, conscious and deliberate committment
to surrender Singapore as soon as possible if attacked by Japan,
combined with the need to make a sham of defending the place so as
not unduly to arouse the suspicions of the bloody Yanks. The British
were looking ahead to the postwar world. They wanted the Japanese to
have plenty of time to attain and fortify their defense perimeter,
so that the US losses in rolling back Nippon would be nothing short
of catastrophic. At the same time, the British wantesd to hide this
treachery from the US public. It had to look as if they were caving
in to force majeure.
At the time, every schoolboy knew that the British had fortified
their coast defense artillery so that the guns could only point out
to sea, and not to the land approaches, which were the axis of
attack chosen by the Japanese. The British troops present, mainly
imperial conscripts, were more or less overtly told not to fight.
Once the needs of dramaturgy for the US market had been satisfied,
Gen. Percival, the British commander, surrendered with all
deliberate speed.
The feeble efforts to save the pound mounted by Montagu Norman's
Bank of England and by Ramsay MacDonald's national unity cabinet in
the summer of 1931 can be usefully summed up as a "Singapore
defense" avant la lettre -- a bungling bogus sham that was
deliberately designed to fail.
NORMAN INTENDED TO DEFAULT ALL ALONG
There is sold evidence that Montagu Norman's decision to provoke
a British default on gold payment dated back to mid-July, 1931, well
before the pound got into trouble. The following is an account of
Montagu Norman's meeting with the German delegation during the
London Conference of July, 1931, which had been called together to
deal with the crisis of the German banks and currency. Norman's
preferred recipe for Germany was default on gold payment, standstill
agreements, and a possible debt moratorium. As we see here, Norman
told German State Secretary Schaeffer that in a few weeks it would
be clear what he was driving at -- which in retrospect was
understood by all concerned as an allusion to Norman's own coming
British default on gold payment:
"Zur fuer die ganze Konferenz entscheidenden internen
Sitzung kam es am 21. [Juli 1931] in der britischen Treasury, an der
Reichskanzler Bruening, Ministerialdirektor Schwerin-Krosigk,
Staatssekretaer Schaeffer und Geheimrat Vocke auf deutscher und
Montague Norman, Sir William Leith-Ross und Waley auf britischer
Seite teilnahmen. In dieser Sitzung erklaerte Montague Norman mit
aller Offenheit, dass er bei vollem Verstaendinis fuer die deutsche
Lage nicht imstande sei, ueber die Bank von England zu helfen, da
dise selbst durch die anhaltende Geldabzuege der letzten Tage
(taeglich bis zu 2 Mill. Pfund) unter schwerstem Druck stehe. Sein
einziger - und unter den gegebenen Verhaeltnissen auch einzig
moeglicher - Rat waere, die Konferenz schnell zu beenden,
deutscherseits selbst private Stillhaltevereinbarungen mit den
Auslandsglauebigern zu treffen, gegebenfalls ein Auslandsmoratorium
- und im Inneren Suspendierung der Goldeinloesungs- und
Golddeckungspflicht, mit anderen Worten genau das, was England acht
Wochen spaeter selbst zu tun gezwungen war. Dass Norman dabei
bereits an diese spaetere eigene Politik dachte, geht daraus hervor,
dass er im Anschluss an die Sitzung Staatssekretaer Schaeffer
persoenlich erklaerte, dass Schaeffer ihn in wenigen Wochen wohl
verstehen wuerde." [Rolf E. Lueke, Von der Stabilisierung zur
Krise (Zuerich: Polygraphischer Verlag, )
This report not only illuminates the timing of Norman's decision
to default. It also shows how explicitly Norman pushed Germany into
the status of an autarkical currency bloc, with all international
payments subject to strict government controls.
On August 23, Norman (who was nursing one of his periodic nervous
breakdowns in Canada) talked by telephone with Harrison of the New
York Fed. Harrison asked Norman if he though that the austerity
program proposed by the new British National Government were
adequate. Norman replied that he believed that the austerity program
was not adequate, and that any inadequate program was bound to cause
trouble within a year or so. Norman recommended exploiting the
current crisis to force through an economic adjustment featuring a
drastic reduction in wages and in the cost of production, so as to
make British goods competitive again. If this were done, Norman
thought, there would be no need for any loans. Harrison objected
that it might be risky to rely exclusively on a balanced budget to
defend a currency. Norman was signalling a new defeatist policy for
the Bank of England -- one that impotently called on the British
government to impose more austerity.
HARVEY LIES TO THE CABINET
The Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Sir Ernest Harvey -
the man who actually terminated the British gold standard - was
uniformly defeatist throughout the crisis. At a cabinet meeting on
September 3, Harvey expressed his conviction that "the future
course of events depended largely upon the attitude of the British
public towards the Government's proposals." This view,
expressed at the height of the crisis, was at odds with the entire
Bank of England and postwar central bank ideology, which stressed
the autonomy and power of the central banks over the flailing of the
politicians and governments. For three centuries the Bank of England
had considered itself responsible for the fate of the pound; now
Harvey was talking out of the other side of his mouth. This reversal
of attitude was also expressed in Lord Norman's constant refrain
that the crisis of the pound had to be solved by a balanced budget
on the part of the British government, and not by an increase in the
Bank Rate of other measures which only the Bank of England itself
could take.
As contemporary observer Palyi writes, "several
'eyewitnesses' have told this writer that both those in the Treasury
and in the Bank had convinced themselves that Britain's house could
not be brought into order without first 'teaching a lesson' to a
public which was either indifferent or indolent." [Palyi, p.
269] But that was a cover story for deliberately scuttling the
pound.
At that same cabinet meeting of September 3, Sir Ernest Harvey
told the cabinet that total losses by the Bank of England since the
beginning of the crisis amounted so far to 130 million pounds in
gold and foreign exchange. Harvey then deliberately lied to the
cabinet, stating that since the loans made to London by the foreign
central banks would have to be repaid in gold if they could not be
paid any other way, this "amounted in effect to a lien on a
portion of their existing gold holding and reduced their actual free
holding to little more than 80 million pounds or about the
equivalent of the new government credit." As one historian
comments, "This alarming exposition of the credit agreements
was...seriously misleading. They did not provide for a lien on the
Bank of England's gold or anything close to it. Rather they
contained a gold payment clause which required that payment be made
in gold." [Kunz, p. 122]
LONDON REFUSES TO RAISE BANK RATE TO CRISIS LEVEL
As Robbins notes, the monetarist orthodoxy of British financial
experts between the two world wars was that if a country got into
economic trouble, "You must put up your bank rate and you must
limit your fiduciary issue. Anything else is bad finance."
Curiously, when the terminal crisis of Montagu Norman's much-vaunted
gold standard finally arrived, the British did neither of these
things.
British monetarist ideology featured the faith that an increase
in the Bank of England's bank rate could pull gold up out of the
ground, or even attract gold to London from the moon. The bank rate
was at the heart of the entire British fetish of usury.
Fiduciary issue of currency was a means used to regulate the
supply of credit. These were extra bank notes issued by the central
bank. Cutting fiduciary issue would have meant a credit contraction
- tight money. In the midst of the summer, 1931 pound and gold
crisis, the British actually increased their fiduciary issue, when
their own orthodoxy would have dictated a sharp cut. But the
Norman's Bank of England persistently increased fiduciary issue in
the face of the crisis.
NORMAN'S REFUSAL TO HIKE THE BANK RATE
As for the Bank Rate, the Bank of England acted in violent
contradiction to its own monetarist orthodoxy. As one scholar later
summed up:
"On May 14 [1931], immediately after the collapse of the
Kredit-Anstalt, the Bank Rate was actually lowered, from 3 to 2 1/2
per cent. It was not changed until July 23rd, when at last it was
raised to 3 1/2 per cent. During the last week or so of July the
Bank of England lost over 25 million pounds in gold. On July 30th
the Bank Rate was again raised, but only to 4 1/2 per cent, and
there it remained until September 21st. Great Britain had always
advocated a high Bank Rate as the remedy for a financial crisis and
a drain of gold. She had been on the gold standard, in effect, for
over two hundred years, with only two breaks - one during the
Napoleonic wars and one during the last war [1914-1925]. Now for the
first time in her history she suspended gold payments in time of
peace and with a Bank Rate of 4 1/2 per cent ! Does it follow that
the British monetary authorities were secretly glad to leave the
gold standard? ....why was the Bank Rate not raised but actually
lowered after the Kredit Anstalt closed? Why was it not raised to 8
per cent or perhaps 10 per cent in July or even in August?"
[Benham, Monetary Policy, pp. 9-11] These are good questions.
Back in 1929, when Montagu Norman had been concerned with
precipitating the New York stock market panic, 6.5% had not seemed
too high a Bank rate in view of the desired result. In April 1920,
when the Norman had wanted to undercut New York, the Bank Rate
reached 7%, and had stayed there for a full year. But now, 4.5% was
the nec plus ultra.
A worried J.P. Morgan of New York cabled on September 7 to Morgan
Grenfel in London:
"Are the British Treasury and the Bank of England
satisfied that the present method of dealing with the sterling
exchange is the best that can be devised? In this connection the
question naturally arises as to why the Bank of England does not use
the classic remedy of Bank Rate instead of apparently pegging the
exchange." [Kunz, p. 126]
Apologists for Norman and his retainers have advanced various
lame arguments to explain the gross treachery of Threadneedle
Street. One argument was that the British domestic economy was
already too depressed to survive a rise in the Bank Rate. But on
September 21, after defaulting on gold, the Bank of England raised
the Bank Rate to 6% and left it there for five months, regardless of
the impact on the credit-starved domestic British economy.
Then there is the argument of "prestige," which claims
that radically to raise the Bank Rate under the pressure of foreign
gold demands would have undermined the prestige of the pound
sterling. Was it then more prestigious to default?
"It had been intimated that the decision to devalue was
due to British 'sensitivity': the Treasury and the Bank found it
'undignified' to balance the national budget under pressure of
foreign bankers. Was their dignity better served by
defaulting?" [Palyi, p. 294]
As the same author sums it up, "the reluctance to use the
discount weapon was at the root of the widely disseminated charge
that 'perfidious Albion' had intentionally 'trapped its
creditors," especially given the fact that British foreign
obligations were denominated in pounds, not in the currency of the
lending country. So these foreign obligations could be paid off in
cheaper pounds after a default and devaluation.
THE FRANCO-AMERICAN LOANS
The British judged that their sham defense of the pound required
at least some semblance of support operations for their own currency
in the international markets. For this purpose, it was decided to
procure loans from the United States and France for these support
operations. The main effect of these loans was to make the lquidity
crisis that followed the British default more acute in both Paris
and New York.
British representative H.A. Siepmann arrived in Paris on August
24 to begin negotiating the French loan. Given the fast pace of the
crisis, Siepmanm should have been a man in a hurry. But Siepmann
"took the approach that the question of a credit was not a top
priority matter, a rather suprising one in the cirumstances and one
that not only confused Governor Moret but diverged totally from the
viewpoint held by Morgan's (N.Y.) and Harrison" at the New York
Federal Reserve. [Kunz, p. 113]
Morgan's for its part had been reluctant to undertake the British
loan. The mood among other American banks was shown by the
unprecedented number of refusals to participate in the underwriting
of the loan which arrived in response to the offer cable sent out by
Morgan's. Banks refusing such an offer ran the risk of being
excluded from future Morgan loan syndications. The refusals show the
extreme liquidity anxieities already besetting the US bankers.
This state of affairs is reflected in the following cable from
Morgan, New York to Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Snowden in
London:
"In reference to the proposed interest rate in America
we may emphasize that there is not a single institution in our whole
banking community which actually desires the British Treasury Notes
on any terms either as to commission or interest.....Every
institution is probably making strenuous endeavours to get its
position more liquid." [Kunz, p. 116-117]
As it was, the British took in the loans, which were obtained by
the British Exchequer from New York and Paris. Starting on August 1,
the British government organized a loan of $250 million, mainly from
the United States. On August 26, the British requested and were
granted a further US loan of $400 million. [Hoover, pp. 81-82]
The British loan was the biggest made by Morgan between the world
wars. The loan took the form of a pledge by Morgan and 109 other
American banks to purchase dollar-denominated Treasury Bills of the
British government for periods of 30, 60 and 90 days.
AUGUST 4 CRISIS- NO INTERVENTION BY BANK OF ENGLAND
During the first days of August, the British authorities
announced that they would receive loans from foreign central banks
for the purpose of conducting support operations for the pound
sterling. But on August 4, the Bank of England and its agents were
inexplicably absent from the currency markets, and the pound
quotation collapsed below the gold export point to New York. Norman
and his crew had "forgotten" to defend the pound that day
-- clearly a conscious decision to sabotage their own pound. The
confidence-building effect of the central bank loans was completely
dissipated. To make matters worse, support operations seem to have
been virtually "forgotten" again two days later.
GOLD SOVEREIGNS SUSPENDED
Around the middle of September, the Bank of England suddenly
discontinued its habitual practice of paying out gold sovereigns --
that is, gold coins -- to those who wanted to exchange pound
sterling banknotes. This measure came at a time when gold bullion
was still freely available for those who wanted to trade in larger
sums. This amounted to the transition to a gold bullion standard. Bu
the effect on market psychology turned out to be catastrophic. The
suspension of official payment in gold sovereigns was seen for what
it was - the immediate prelude to the default on all gold payment.
AFTERNOON POUND BREAKS IN NEW YORK
On August 29, Morgan partner Thomas Lamont send a cable to
Grenfel in London commenting on the loss of confidence in the
British government that was spreading on Wall Street. A cable two
days later stressed the concern felt at Morgan's New York about
"the poor handling of the sterling exchange, a symptom of which
was the frequent breaks in the value of sterling in the New York
market after the London market had closed. It apppeared that the
Bank of England agents in New York were setting their watches to
London time, and knocking off for the day after lunch. When the
pound crashed just before tea-time, Norman's minions were at home.
NO ATTACKS ON BEARS A LA POINCARE
In the same missive, Morgan's (N.Y.) also suggested better
liaison between the Bank of England, the Bank of France and the
FRBNY so that the credits would become an offensive weapon rather
than a sitting duck for rapacious financiers." [Kunz, p. 120]
To be effective in stopping speculation, the monetary resources
obtained by the Bank of England had to be employed dynamically. The
Bank of England could not just sit there, buying unlimited
quantities of pounds at the floor price. Rather, the money had to be
used aggressively to buy pound futures so as to drive the pound
quotation up, if only temporarily, with the result that some of the
specualtors who had sold the pound short would have been severely
burned. The pound would have received additional support through
short covering purchases. The Bank of England needed to organize a
short squeeze or bear squeeze so as to create genuine doubt about
whether shorting the pound was a sure way to lock in profits. Bear
squeezes and short squeezes had been actively organized by French
Premier Poincare' during his defense of the French franc some years
earlier.
ONLY 2 SMALL BANKS USED
Another feature of Norman's Singapore defense was the method used
to organize support operations for the pound. All support operations
were conduited through two small banks. Support operations against
the dollar were done through the British Overseas Bank, and support
operations against the franc were done through the Anglo-
International Bank. This absurd method guaranteed that everyone in
the markets knew exactly when and in what amount the Bank of England
was interveneing, and that everyone also soon knew exactly how much
of the various French and American support loans remained unused. If
it had wished to be effective, the Bank of England would have
intervened in its own name, and would also have conduited other
operations through the big British clearing banks. The small size of
the banks actually used also limited the amount of pound futures
they could buy, since their credit was so limited.
LOW FORWARD PRICE OF POUNDS
On September 1, Morgans (N.Y.) cabled their London partners an
analysis of the London and New York sterling markets with special
focus on the weakness and lack of depth of the forward market.
[Kunz, p. 121] The elementary strategy for defending the pound would
have been to keep the price of pound futures above the spot price
for pounds in the cash market. If that could be accomplished,
arbitrageurs would have been impelled to sell the pound futures and
buy the spot pounds, generating an updraft around the pound
quotations. But if pound futures were allowed to sink lower than
current pounds, financiers would obviously sell pounds and buy pound
futures to lock in their profit.
POUND PEGGED TOO HIGH
Harrison of the FRBNY cabled Harvey on September 3 that in his
opinion the British were attempting to peg the pound/dollar rate
much too high. The British were attempting to support sterling at
$4.86 to $4.86125, which was considerably above British gold export
point. In Harrison's view, the artifically high peg only encouraged
sales of sterling. Harrison wanted the pound to fluctuate just above
that currency's gold export point. Harvey declined to make this
change, saying that although he was in general agreement this was
not the time to change tactics. [Kunz, p. 121]
DUTCH GUILDER RATE NEGLECTED
In yet another deliberate British fiasco, while the pound to
dollar and pound to franc rates were supported, the pound to Dutch
guilder quotation received no support of all. Given the considerably
importance of the Dutch currency at the time, this was insane folly.
The pound/guilder exchange rate went below the gold export point in
September, and significant amounts of British gold were shipped to
Amsterdam during the final phase of the bogus defense of the pound.
FOREIGN SECURITIES NOT USED
Lord Reading, the Foreign Secretary, suggested to Snowden between
September 10 and September 14 that the Treasury prepare a plan for
the mobilization of foreign securities held in Britain for the
purpose of depending the pound. Reading thought that this operation
could be modeled on the methods used for the same purpose during the
First World War. Lord Reading also wanted MacDonald to order the
Bank of England to prepare detailed financial data for the use of
the Financial Subcommittee of the cabinet, composed of MacDonald,
Snowden, Reading, and Neville Chamerlain. [Kunz, p. 129] None of
this was carried out.
BRITISH SPECULATORS: OWN GOAL
On Monday, September 14, there was the first meeting of the
Financial Subcommittee of the cabinet. Lord Reading wanted to
determine exactly who it was that was dumping all the pounds on the
international markets. Reading thought that many sales appeared to
be British-inspired, and that the cabinet ought to consider a method
of cracking down on such transactions. Harvey, who was present,
expressed pessimism about the ability of the Government or the Bank
to halt British flight capital, and "he further made the false
statement that the sale of sterling by British citizens was not
really an important problem."
Harvey himself knew this was nonsense. In reality, "Harvey
had been sufficiently alarmed about British sales of sterling to
write to various culprits such as Lord Bradbury to ask them not to
continue to purchase dollars. Also Fisher had told [US diplomat]
Atherton that internal capital flight was one of the causes of
Britain's problems. As the Bank of England, not the Treasury, kept
track of currency movements, Fisher could only have known this if
the Bank so informed him." [Kunz, p. 143]
The London Daily Star was upset enough about flight capital to
write that if the National Government were really national, "it
could act at once against the traitors who are sending their gold
abroad...." [New York Times, September 18, 1931]
On the fateful Default Day of September 21, 1931, the New York
Times related the comments of the London correspondent of Le Matin
of Paris. This journalist, Stephane Lauzanne, is quoted as saying:
"The most recent purchases of foreign exchange were not
undertaken for foreigners, as is stated in the official British
statement, but in fact by British subjects. There were considerable
withdrawals of foreign capital, but these took place mostly several
weeks ago. During the past few days I have been assured by one of
the most influential representatives of French banking circles in
London that to his personal knowledge orders for the sale of
sterling and purchases of dollars were given to the London banks by
great numbers of British clients. Even as late as Saturday
[September 19] 10,000,000 pounds left the Bank of England's
vaults." [New York Times, Monday September 21, 1931] Even on
the eve of the default, London was still exporting capital - getting
the most out of available pounds to buy up assets around the
world.
THE INVERGORDON FARCE
In late September 1929, Norman had used the Hatry bankruptcy as a
pretext for raising the Bank Rate, which he had wanted to do for
reasons of economic warfare against the USA. In 1931, an
indispensable part of the orchestration of the British default was
an alleged "mutiny" in the Royal Navy in protest over pay
cuts.
On Tuesday, September 15, Sir Austen Chamberlain, the First Lord
of the Admiralty, informed MacDonald of a trifling incident which
had taken place at Invergordon. About 500 sailors of the Royal Navy
had assembled for meetings to discuss the pay cut for experienced
seamen which the National Government was proposing. The seamen
ignored orders to return to their ships until their protest meetings
were over. In response, the Admiral of the British Atlantic Fleet
announced the postponement of the scheduled naval maneuvers, and
also the dispersal of the Atlantic fleet to its various home ports.
It was these latter actions which "elevated what might have
remained a small incident into a mjor occurrence. Sensational
headlines around the world pointed to the parallels to the Russian
revolution of 1905 and 1917 and the German revolution of 1918, both
of which had been marked in their early phases by fleet mutinies.
The Revolution was about to overpower the Royal Navy itself! In
addition to this hysterical hype, there was also the sense that the
austerity program would have rough sledding from other groups in
Britain as well. [Kunz, p. 131]
THE BANK OF ENGLAND DEMANDS DEFAULT
A despatch of September 17, 1931 to the New York Times reported
that Sir Ernest Harvey, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, and
other financial leaders had gone that evening to the House of
Commons to convey to Prime Minister Ramsay MacDonald "a grave
warning that the stability of the pound was again imperiled."
"It is stated that they gave two reasons for this emergency -
first, the naval unrest, and, second, the report that a general
election was imminent."
Saturday September 18 was the day the British cabinet officially
decided to default on Britain's gold obligations. MacDonald called
it the most solemn conference ever held at 10 Downing Street. True
to form, it was the Bank of England that proposed the abrogation of
the gold standard through the mouth of its Deputy Governor, who
announced that the only course of action left was for Britain to
leave the gold standard. [Kunz, p. 135] Harvey deliberately created
the false impression that he had discussed the situation after the
close of trading on Friday with Harrison of the New York Fed. This
was not true. Harvey, in response to a question from MacDonald,
added that he did not think it worthwhile to raise even 100 million
pounds ($450 million) if people were only going to withdraw it.
MacDonald quickly agreed to default, and the rest of the cabinet
meeting was devoted to technical details of how to terminate the
gold standard. [Kunz, p. 135]
It was only on Saturday, September 19 that Harvey informed
Harrison of the New York Fed of what the British government was now
doing. Harrison was described as greatly shocked by this decision,
which came as a surprise to him. Harrison persisted for a time in
exploring possible alternatives to London's default, and offered
further loans. [Kunz, p. 137] But the Bank of England remained
committed to immediate default. More help could have been obtained
from Paris as well. Then there is the embarrassing fact that during
the last week of the gold standard the Bank of England's gold stocks
INCREASED from 133,300,000 to 135,600,000 pounds. [Palyi, p. 277]
THE END OF THE WORLD
On Sunday, September 20, 1931, the British government issued its
statements announcing its decision to "suspend for the time
being" the clause of the Gold Standard Act of 1925 requiring
the Bank of England to sell gold at the fixed price. All the other
elements of the official British mythology were also present.
"His Majesty's Government have no reason to believe that the
present difficulties are due to any substantial extent to the export
of capital by British nationals. Undoubtedly the bulk of withdrawals
has been for foreign accounts." The bloody wogs, as we see,
were once again the root of the problem. Furthermore: "His
Majesty's Government have arrived at their decision with the
greatest reluctance. But during the last few days international
markets have become demoralized and have been liquidating their
sterling assets regardless of their intrinsic worth. In the
circumstances there was no alternative but to protect the financial
position of this country by the only means at our disposal." As
we have seen, there were other means. Finally, there was the
obligatory stiff upper lip: "The ultimate resources of this
country are enormous and there is no doubt that the present exchange
difficulties will prove only temporary." [New York Times,
September 21, 1931]
The worldwide shock was severe. In the words of Jackson E.
Reynolds. then President of the First National Bank of New York,
"when England went off gold it was like the end of the
world."
THE BANKERS' RAMP
With the help of demagogic headlines in the London afternoon
tabloids, the British oligarchy placed the blame for the fall of the
mighty pound on a "bankers' ramp" led by foreign central
bankers. A favorite target was poor George Harrison of the New York
Federal Reserve, who was rewarded with slander and obloquy for his
pathetic and servile devotion to the currency of British
imperialism. Another fall-guy was the Banque de France.
One British chronicler of these times sums up the official line
of scapegoating the foreigners as follows: "It was basically
the American trade cycle, and not British monetary policy, that made
life so wretched for us." [R.S. Sayers, 97]
JACQUES RUEFF ATTACKS BRITISH HANDLING OF CRISIS
During the weeks of the British crisis, the economist Jacques
Rueff was serving as the Financial Attache at the French Embassy in
London. This meant that Rueff was in practice the manager of the
French sterling balances.
Palyi cites the "'posthumous' charge by Rueff that the
"Bank of England defaulted intentionally in order to damage the
creditor central banks, the Bank of France in particular...."
[Palyi, p. 268]
On October 1, 1931, Rueff completed his memorandum entitled
"Sur les causes et les enseignements de la crise
financière anglaise," which was intended to be read by
French Finance Minister P.-E. Flandin and the French Prime Minister,
Pierre Laval.
Rueff first described the modes of intervention of the Bank of
England: "Elle avait...deux instruments: le taux d'escompte et
la politique dite d''open market'....Depuis 1929 la Banque
d'Angleterre a constamment utilisé ces deux instruments pour
maintenir aussi bas que possible les taux en vigeur sur le
marché de Londres. Elle a toujours retardé aux maximum
les élévations de taux d'escompte qui s'imposaient,
cependant qu'elle cherchait à augmenter, par ses achats de
valuers d'Etat, l'abondance monétaire du marche."
[Jacques Rueff, De L'Aube au Crépuscule, p. 301]
For Rueff, the British were guilty of violating the implicit
rules of the gold exchange standard, since they tried to maintain
their liquidity despite a gold outflow. "on peut affirmer
notamment qu'en 1929 et 1930, presque sans exception, la politique
d''open market' de la Banque d'Angleterre a été faite
à contresens. Les mouvements d'or, en effet, tendent à
se corriger eux-mêmes, puisque toute sortie de métal
tend à provoquer une restriction de crédit, qui hausse
les taux du marche. Or, en 1929 et 1930, toutes les fois que de l'or
sortait de la Banque d'Angleterre, celle-ci achetait des valeurs
d'Etat sur le marché, remplacant ainsi les disponibilites qui
venaient de dispara&itremas;tre." [302]
"Autrement dit, pendant les deux années 1929-
1930, la Banque d'Angleterre a constamment paralysé le jeu
des phénomenes qui tendaient à adapter la balance des
paiements anglais aux nécessites résultant de la
politique économique suivie par le pays." [p. 303]
Because of these policies, Rueff found, the British had weakened
themselves even before the German crisis had begun: "Or, en
1931, ces fautes ont été commises, provoquant des
mouvements de capitaux qui ont été mortels pour le
change anglais. Il est très probable que l'Angleterre aurait
pu y résister, si elle n'avait pas été mise
préalablement dans un état de paralysie
économique et financière, interdisant à son
organisme les réactions spontanées d'un marche
normal." [p. 303]
Rueff repeatedly condemns Stimson's intervention at the London
Conference of July, 1931 with the proposal for standstill agreements
which immediately created a liquidity crisis and put world banking
in difficulty: "Toutes les banques du monde, voyant soudain
immobilisé une fraction très importante de leurs
capitaux a court terme, ont cherché à
récupérer toutes les réserves qu'elles
pouvaient rendre disponibles." [304}
But the British always blamed the wogs:
The British had been wallowing in a depression since 1918, and
that for them made it a world economic crisis: "Il faut d'abord
remarquer que, pour l'opinion britannique, la crise
économique d'après guerre n'est pas chose nouvelle.
Depuis que l'Angleterre souffre du chomage permanent - c'est-
à-dire depuis la guerre - l'opinion britannique et les
experts anglais affirment que le monde est en état de crise.
Depuis la guerre, même lorsque le monde, sauf l'Angleterre,
était en pleine prospérite, les représentants
britanniques ne cessaient de demander à la
Société des Nations de trouver un remède
à la crise économique, qualifiée de mondiale
parce qu'elle affectait les intérêts du Royaume-Uni de
Grande-Bretagne et d'Irlande." [307]
A key British problem was their high unemployment, which they had
chosen to deal with by means of payments to the unemployed, called
the dole: "Et cela explique que la hausse des prix soit pour
l'Angleterre, dans le régime ou elle s'est volontairement
placée, une nécessité vitale. Ayant fixe une
catégorie des prix, elle est conduite à vouloir y
adapter tour les autres....Cette hausse des prix anglais peut, il
est vrai, être réalisée sans hausse des prix
mondiaux, par la dépréciation de la livre sterling et
aussi - bien que dans une mesure probablement insuffisante - par un
tarif douanier. D'ou des diverses solutions envisagées en
Angleterre, l'une d'entre elles - la dépréciation
monétaire - étant déjà en voie de
réalisation...." [308-309]
For Rueff, all British proposals for international monetary
cooperation were strategems designed to shift the crisis from
Britain to the rest of the world: "Il reste enfin à
évoquer la dernière des formules par lesquelles
l'Angleterre prétend que le monde devrait etre reconstruit:
la cooperation financière internationale. C'est là un
programme dont le sens n'a jamais été défini,
probablement parce qu'il n'en a aucun....Il n'est pas douteux que
tous les plans présentés à Genève ou a
Bale, plan Norman, plan Kindersley, plan Francqui, tendent seulement
a réaliser le trust des entrprises en faillite et a y
investir des capitaux qui sans cela se seraient refusés. Par
là, ils sont un merveilleux instrument pour transférer
les difficultes financières des Etats qui les ont
provoqués, a ceux qui ont été assez sages ou
assez prudents pour s'en préserver...Tel est d'ailleurs le
sens profond et l'objet véritable de tous les efforts tendant
a réaliser la solidarité internationale,
solidarité que l'on invoque toujours lorsque l'on veut
profiter de la prosperité des Etats voisins, mais jamais
lorsque l'on peut leur venir en aide." [318-319]
Rueff suggested a Franco-American accord capable of putting an
end to the British game.
THE BANK OF ENGLAND'S DUTCH TREAT
By September 20, most of the sterling balances held by foreigners
who were disposed to liquidate them had already been liquidated. The
exception were sterling balances held by foreign central banks, like
the Dutch, and these would be loyal to London, partly because their
estimate was that the crisis was not so severe as to force the
British off gold. The little people of the British public were
proving docile enough to make no attempt to turn in their pound
notes for gold. The Big Five clearing banks were undisturbed by
panic runs or the specter of insolvency.
There is no doubt that during the weeks before default, the Bank
of England practiced the most cynical deception on other central
banks. The Bank of England twice assured the Bank of South Africa
that it would do everything in its power to maintain gold payments.
The Bank of England acted with great treachery towards the
Netherlands Bank, the central bank which had shown itself to be the
truest friend of the pound, supporting it in crisis after crisis.
The president of the Netherlands Bank, Mr. Vissering, telephoned the
Bank of England on September 18, 1931 to enquire whether there was
any truth to the rumors about a forthcoming sterling devaulation.
The Bank of England official who answered the phone emphatically
denied that there would be a devaluation, and offered to pay off the
Netherlands Bank sterling balances in gold on the spot. The Dutch
decided to keep their gold in London.
A few days after the call summarized above, "Dr. G.
Vissering of the Netherlands' Central Bank called Harvey to request
that the Dutch gold held by the Bank of England be earmarked
[separated from the Bank of England stocks as a preliminary to
shipment to the Netherlands]. Harvey huffily refused, saying that
the Dutch could either take their gold back to Amsterdam or keep it
in London but if they chose the latter course they would not be
placed in the position of a preferred creditor. Vissering backed
down. To assuage Vissering's fears Harvey wrote him about the
credits and stressed the total committment of the National
Government to the maintenance of the gold standard [Kunz, pp. 119-
120] As a result, "the Netherlands Bank felt, and for good
reason so, that it had been deceived by the Bank of England, a turn
that was scarcely befitting Norman's idea of central bank
cooperation, or the 'ethics' of the gold standard." [Palyi, p.
278]
The Netherlands Bank thought that the Bank of England should
safeguard the Netherlands Bank against all the sterling losses to
which it was subjected. A discussion of this British betrayal is
found in the 1931-32 Annual Report of the Netherlands Bank. [see
Brown, vol, 2, pp. 1170-1172]
Montagu Norman claimed that he had personally not been a
participant in the decision to default on gold. As we have noted,
Norman's cover story was that he had suffered a nervous breakdown,
and had taken a vacation at the Chateau Frontenac in Quebec, Canada.
When the Bank of England suspended gold payment, Norman was on board
ship in the middle of the Atlantic. Norman claims that he knew
nothing of the decision to go off gold until he landed at Liverpool
on September 23. Norman was thus able to blame the default on one of
his resident whipping-boys, Deputy Governor Sir Ernest Harvey.
Harvey himself suffered a nervous breakdown because of the stress of
serving under Norman.
When the British stopped paying in gold, they were quickly
followed by Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Holland, Bolivia, and India -
most of whom were candidates for inclusion in the sterling bloc.
Other countries, including Greece, Italy, Germany, Austria, and
Hungary were already operating under exchange controls and other
measures which effectively prevented gold outflow. [Hoover, p. 82]
The British strategy for saving the golden pound had included
histrionic international appeals from Prime Minister Ramsay
MacDonald, who pleaded with other countries not to drain off the
last of the British gold. After the British had defaulted,
MacDonald's perfidy caused much resentment abroad. In the words of
an American economist, "Hardly had Ramsay MacDonald stopped
sobbing over the international radio that Britannia should not be
forced to sacrifice her honor, than he began to smile broadly
because the fall of the pound gave her marked advantage in
exports." [Mitchell, p. 14]
THE BRITISH GAME
A British estimate of the London predicament of the early 1930's
reads as follows: "...Great Britain is a highly populated
industrial country, carrying a terrific burden of internal debt,
dependent predominantly for existence on foreign trade, enjoying the
benefits of being the world's chief banking centre, possessed of a
large net income from long-term investments abroad, but heavily
indebted (in her role as world's banker) to other centres on short-
term account." [Economist, September 26, 1931, p. 548]
The British racket up until September 1931 had been to use a high
pound to maximize their buying up of the world's productive assets
and resources. After September, 1931, a devalued pound meant that
pound-denominated foreign claims on the British financial system -
and these were the vast majority - were automatically reduced.
Five months after the British default, Norman and the British
oligarchy embarked on a policy of cheap money. At this time a series
of Bank Rate reductions was started which soon brought the discount
to 2.5%, where it stayed for many years. Montagu Norman himself, the
former gold addict, became the main theoretician of Cheap Money in
the new era of competitive monetary devaulations. The British stock
market quickly recovered amd kept rising during most of the 1930's.
But unemployment hovered around 2.5 million until the beginning of
the Second World War.
"For years, Continental opinion had been coming to the view
that the British system was dying of ossification," wrote
Lionel Robbins [p. 93] "Now the British had increased their own
relative importance compared to their continental rivals, who had
joined them in perdition."
The post-1931 British strategy also included Imperial Preference
and trade war: "Britain entered the lists with the Import
Duties Act of March, 1932 (reaching 33 1/3 per cent), and the later
Ottawa Agreement establishing empire tariff preferences spurred
other countries in the process of retaliation. Sterling losses of so
many countries spread deflation through the struggle for liquidity.
The contest between economies that remained on gold and those that
had left it became acute." [Mitchell, p. 14]
Soon, US exports to the rest of the world had dropped to about
one third of their 1929 level. [Hoover, p. 83] European purchases of
American agricultural products ceased almost entirely. US
unemployment increased rapidly. Tax revenue fell by 50%. [Hoover, p.
89]
BRITISH DEFAULT: TEN MORE YEARS OF WORLD DEPRESSION
The Gibraltar of British Empire finance had crashed. The old
saying, "as safe as the Bank of England" was now a
mockery. "It was only vaguely understood, if at all, that at
stake was what is called today the 'world monetary system.' It was
still a sterling system. The likely alternative to...the gold
standard, at the old sterling parity, may have been the breakdown of
that system. That is what happened after September, 1931.' [Palyi,
p. 86] "The cooperation of the central banks in the 1920's
ended in a breakdown of the entire system, having been essentially a
cloak that masked the ultimate purpose of its chief ingredient, the
gold exchange standard, which was to maintain Britain's gold
standard without obeying the rules of the gold standard." [p.
146]
During the 18-month period after the British default, most world
currencies also terminated gold payments through external default.
Until March, 1933 the US dollar and some of its satellite currencies
in central America were able to keep up payments on gold. Otherwise,
the gold standard was maintained by a group of countries called the
"gold bloc," comprehending France, Holland, Belgium,
Switzerland, Italy, Poland, and Estonia. Estonia was forced off
gold, and Italy and Poland imposed gold export controls. The Belgian
franc was devalued in March, 1935. France imposed a gold embargo in
September, 1936. Switzerland and Holland announced devaluations
immediately thereafter.
Of the fifty-four nations that had been on the gold standard at
some timne between 1925 and 1931, none remained on gold in 1937. The
world monetary system had indeed disintegrated.
CHART: COUNTRIES LEAVING THE GOLD STANDARD
APRIL 1929 - APRIL 1933
1929
APRIL - URUGUAY
NOVEMBER - ARGENTINA
DECEMBER - BRAZIL
1930
MARCH - AUSTRALIA
APRIL - NEW ZEALAND
SEPTEMBER -VENEZUELA
1931
AUGUST - MEXICO
SEPTEMBER - UNITED KINGDOM, CANADA, INDIA, SWEDEN, DENMARK,
NORWAY, EGYPT, IRISH ,FREE STATE BRITISH MALAYA, PALESTINE
OCTOBER - AUSTRIA ,PORTUGAL, FINLAND ,BOLIVIA, SALVADOR
DECEMBER - JAPAN
1932
JANUARY - COLOMBIA, NICARAGUA, COSTA RICA
APRIL - GREECE, CHILE
MAY - PERU
JUNE - ECUADOR ,SIAM
JULY - YUGOSLAVIA
1933
JANUARY - UNION OF SOUTH AFRICA
APRIL - HONDURAS, UNITED STATES
[See Brown, 1075]
---------------------------------------------------------
BEYOND BREAKDOWN TO DISINTEGRATION
The year 1931 is thus a turning point in the financial history of
Europe analogous to 1914 in political-military history:
"...because of the profound influence of the war upon the
structure of the world's credit system and upon the economic
environment in which it operated, 1914-19 was a period that marked
the breakdown, rather than the suspension or modification, of the
pre-war international gold standard system.......when England
suspended the convertibility of sterling in 1931 the international
gold standard as a world institution entered into an historical
phase which must be described by a stronger term than breakdown.
SEPTEMBER 1931 MARKED THE BEGINNING OF ITS DISINTEGRATION."
[Brown, p. 1052, emphasis added]
Current historians and economists are fixated on 1929, but there
can be no doubt that September 1931 was the more important watershed
by far. "Britain's devaluation in 1931 had a psychological and
political impact on Europe, and beyond, that can hardly be
overestimated. In final analysis, the break-up of the international
financial and commercial system was a decisive factor in balkanizing
Europe and preparing the ground for World War II." [Palyi, p.
270] Another writer noted that among the "consequences [of
1931] were an increase of international suspicion and hatred, an
inflamed nationalism in Europe and, finally, war." [Giuseppi,
p. 164] Indeed.
CURRENCY BLOCS AND THE IMPULSION TOWARDS A NEW WORLD WAR
The scuttling of the pound-based, gold exchange international
monetary system of the 1920's was perhaps the most potent underlying
factor in the universal renewal of armed conflict that soon
followed. When the pound fell, a series of currency blocs emerged
somewhat along the prototype of what had emerged under the guidance
of Norman and Schacht as the German mark area. These currency blocs
included the British pound sterling bloc, the US dollar bloc, the
gold bloc (which broke up, leaving a franc bloc along with some
other shards), the Soviet ruble area, the Japanese yen zone. The
currency chaos meant that there was no reliable means of settling
commercial payments among these blocs. World trade atrophied. The
situation was difficult for everyone, but it was worst for those
blocs which had the greatest dependency on exports and on importing
oil, metals, rubber, and strategic raw materials. The pound
sterling, dollar, franc and ruble each had some raw materials
backing. But the German mark, Japanese yen and Italian lira had
virtually none. Each of these states embarked on an economic regime
of autarky so as to conserve foreign exchange. For Germany, Italy,
and Japan, aggressive territorial expansion towards possible sources
of oil and metals became the only available surrogate for foreign
trade. The ascendancy of fascism was favored in each case by the
penury of world trade, and in each case the British stood ready to
promote fascist leaders who would ruthlessly act out this logic, as
exemplified by Montagu Norman's role as the premier international
patron of Hitler and the Nazis, and as the point man for the pro-
Hitler directives which were carried out by Sir Henry Deterding,
Averell Harriman, and Prescott Bush.
BEGGAR-MY-NEIGHBOR
The British were aware at the time of the colossal magnitude of
what they had wrought, and were certainly aware of how rival states
might suffer far greater consequences than the British themselves:
"The facts must be faced that the disappearance of the pound
from the ranks of the world's stable currencies threatens to
undermine the exchange stability of nearly every nation on earth;
that even though London's prestige as an international centre may
gradually recover from the blow which the sterling bill has
received, banking liquidity throughout the world has been seriously
impaired, much more so in other countries than this; that
international trade must be temporarily paralysed so long as the
future value of many currencies is open to grave uncertainty; and
that, though the memory of the disastrous effects of post-war
inflations should be a useful deterrent, there is an obvious risk
lest we may have started an international competititon in
devaluation of currencies motived [sic] by the hope of stimulating
exports and leading to a tragic reversion to the chaotic conditions
which existed five or six years ago." ["The End of an
Epoch," London Economist, September 26, 1931, p. 547]
The entire edifice of world trade and world banking had imploded:
"The sterling bill enters so deeply into the whole mechanism of
international trade, and so many foreign banks, including central
banks, have been accustomed to keep a large portion of their
reserves in the form of sterling balances in London, that the shock
caused by the depreciation of sterling to some 80 per cent. of its
value has necessarily been profound....the depreciation of the pound
means that the currency reserves of many countries which are kept in
the form of sterling balances have been seriously impaired, and the
pre-existing strain on the banking system of many centres is bound
temporarily at least to be aggravated by the universal shock which
confidence has suffered....By our action, the value of the legal
backing of a number of currencies has suddenly shrunk."
[Economist, September 26, 1931, pp. 550-551]
By October, Perfide Albion was positively gloating about the
massive gold outflow from the United States, which many now
considered on te verge of a dollar crisis: "The suspension also
of the gold standard in Great Britain had three important results.
Firstly, it gave a further shock to confidence. Secondly, it
prevented foreign banks from drawing upon their sterling balances
except at a heavy loss, and so drove them back on their dollar
balances. Finally, it destroyed all faith in the safety and efficacy
of the gold exchange standard, for foreign central banks found that
the sterling exchange which they had legitimately held as part of
their legal reserve had lost part of its value, thereby undermining
their own stability, and inflicting upon them losses in many cases
commensurate with their own capital." [London Economist,
"America's Money Problems," October 10, 1931, p. 646] In
other words, London's planned default had bankrupted a series of
central banks who had deposited their reserves in the Bank of
England.
A few weeks later, The Economist commented further: "It was
inevitable that the suspension of gold payments in England should
have a profound effect upon the position of leading central banks.
Some who were engaged in operating the gold exchange standard were
in possession of susstantial holdings of sterling as part of their
legal reserve against their notes and other sight liabilities while
others - such as the Banque de France - held equally large quanities
of sterling, even though they were operating on the full gold
standard. All these central banks have had to face a 20 per cent.
depreciation of their holdings of sterling, which for many of them
means a substantial proportion of their legal currency reserves.
"This situation has already had several far-reaching
results. Many countries have summarily abandoned the gold exchange
standard as a snare and a delusion, and their central banks have
begun hurriedly to convert their devisen into gold. The general
tendency has been to leave their sterling holdings intact, but to
exchange their dollar balances and bills for gold; and this is a
major cause of the recent efflux of gold from the United States.
Again, commercial banks have not been immune from the consequences
of the crisis, and have had to meet the suspicion and distrust of
their customers. fostered by very numerous (if not individually very
important) bank failures all over the world. They have had to face
the immobilisation under the 'standstill' agreement of such part of
their assets as they had ventured in Germany and central Europe;
they have suffered, in common with the central banks, a 20 per cent.
depreciation of their sterling holdings; and, last but not least,
they have had to deal with the widespread dislocation to trade
caused by the depreciation of sterling, which is the currency of
world commerce. Thus commercial banks have, on the one hand,
witnessed an outflow of notes into the hands of distrustful
customers, and, on the other hand, they have had to mobilize their
available assets, both at home and abroad, in preparation for
further demands for currency." ["The Gold Rush,"
Economist, October 24, 1931, p. 746]
BRITISH DEFAULT PRECIPITATES US BANKING PANIC OF 1932-33
By August of 1931, Keynes estimated that commodity prices on the
world market had fallen since 1929 by an average of 25%, with some
commodities falling as much as 40 to 50%. Common stock shares had
fallen worldwide by 40% to 50%, he reckoned. Investment-grade bonds
were down by only 5%, but lower rated bonds were down by 10% to 15%,
and the bonds of many governments had "suffered prodigious
falls." When it came to real estate, the picture was more
differentiated. Great Britain and France had been able to maintain
relative firmness in real estate values, with the result that
"mortgage business is sound and the multitude of loans granted
on the security of real estate are unimpaired." The worst crash
of real estate prices had occurred in the United States, Keynes
found. Farm values had suffered a great decline, and newly developed
urban commercial real estate was depressed to 60% to 70% of its cost
of construction, and often less. Finally, Keynes estimated that the
commercial loan portfolios held by banks were in the worst shape of
all. Keynes evaluated this 2-year collapse as the worst world-wide
deflation in the money values of real assets in history. [Essays in
Persuasion, pp. 172-175]
Keynes pointed especially to something far worse yet to come,
namely the potential world banking crisis that was implicit in the
price collapses he had summed up. He concluded that in most of the
non-British world, if bank assets were conservatively re-evaluated,
"quite a significant proportion of the banks of the world would
be found to be insolvent; and with the further progress of Deflation
this proportion will grow rapidly." London had the least to
worry about, since "fortunately our own domestic British Banks
are probably at present - for various reasons - among the
strongest." Once again the Americans would bear the brunt of
the crisis:
...in the United States, the position of the banks, though
partly concealed from the public eye, may be in fact the weakest
element in the whole situation. It is obvious that the present trend
of events cannot go much further without something breaking. If
nothing is done, it will be amongst the world's banks that the
really critical breakages will occur.
["The Consequences to the Banks of the Collapse of Money
Values," (Aug. 1931) in Essays in Persuasion, p. 177]
During October, 1931, the British default had provoked a flurry
of bank failures worldwide:the Comptoir Lyon-Alemand closed; Handels
Bank of Denmark needed to be bailed out by central bank, the Bank
fuer Handel und Gewerbe, Leipzig, suspended payment, as did the
Dresden Volksbank, the Franklin Trust Company of Philadelphia and 18
smaller US banks.
The central banks were so strapped for cash that there was a run
on the Bank for International Settelements, which had to sell great
masses of its own assets assets in order to meet the cash demands of
its members, the central banks.
KEYNES: THE CURSE OF MIDAS
Keynes was very explicit that the most destructive consequences
of the British default were going to be visited upon the United
States, which was still on the gold standard:
"...the competitive disadvantage will be concentrated
on those few countries which remain on the gold standard. On these
will fall the curse of Midas. As a result of their unwillingness to
exchange their exports except for gold their export trade will dry
up and disappear until they no longer have either a favourable trade
balance or foreign deposits to repatriate. This means in the main
France and the United States. Their loss of export trade will be an
inevitable, a predictable, outcome of their own action. [...] For
the appreciation of French and American money in terms of the money
of other countries makes it impossible for French and American
exporters to sell their goods. [...] They have willed the
destruction of their own export industries, and only they can take
the steps necessary to restore them. The appreciation of their
currencies must also gravely embarrass their banking systems.
["The End of the Gold Standard, (Sept. 27, 1931) in Essays |